UEFA Nations League (Europe)

Italy vs France Prediction and Head-to-Head Stats

Italy vs France 12/11/2026 22:45
Meetings
2 Last 2 meetings at either venue
Draws
1/2 Last 2 meetings at either venue
Over 2.5 goals
1/2 Last 2 meetings at either venue
Both teams scored
2/2 Last 2 meetings at either venue

Italy host France in UEFA Nations League (Europe) on 12 November 2026 at 22:45. In UEFA Nations League this season, home sides have won 38% of matches and 50% have produced three goals or more.

Their strongest combined record is Over 1.5 Goals: it happened in 8 of Italy's last 8 home matches and 8 of France's last 10 away matches. At the other end, Draw (X) has been rare on both sides: 0% of Italy's home games and 10% of France's away games. In their last 2 meetings at either venue, 1 had over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in 2.

Key prediction types: home and away records

Home record: Italy's last 10 home matches. Away record: France's last 10 away matches. H2H: their last 10 meetings at either venue. Combined: both home and away records together.

Both records point the same way on HT Over 0.5 Goals: it came up in 75% of Italy's home matches and 80% of France's away matches. The two sides disagree most on Double Chance X2: only 50% for Italy at home, against 90% for France on the road.

All prediction types

Full Time

Total Goals Over/Under

Half time

Double Chance

Total Goals

BTTS

Half Time / Full Time

Odd / Even

Half-Time Over/Under

Correct Score

Recent form

Italy at home

Italy won 5, drew 1 and lost 4 of its last 10 home matches, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.5 goals per game. It kept a clean sheet in close to three matches in ten and both teams scored in about six matches in ten.

  • 05/10/2026 Italy - TurkeyUEFA Nations League 3-1(1-0) W Win
  • 25/09/2026 Italy - BelgiumUEFA Nations League 0-2(0-1) L Loss
  • 26/03/2026 Italy - Northern IrelandWorld Cup - Qualification 2-0(0-0) W Win
  • 16/11/2025 Italy - NorwayWorld Cup - Qualification 1-4(1-0) L Loss
  • 05/09/2025 Italy - EstoniaWorld Cup - Qualification 5-0(0-0) W Win
  • 09/06/2025 Italy - MoldovaWorld Cup - Qualification 2-0(1-0) W Win
  • 20/03/2025 Italy - GermanyUEFA Nations League 1-2(1-0) L Loss
  • 17/11/2024 Italy - FranceUEFA Nations League 1-3(1-2) L Loss
  • 10/10/2024 Italy - BelgiumUEFA Nations League 2-2(2-1) D Draw
  • 15/06/2024 Italy - AlbaniaEuro 2-1(2-1) W Win

France away

Away from home, France won 8, drew 1 and lost 1 of its last 10 matches, with 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. It failed to score in none of the matches and kept a clean sheet in around four matches in ten.

  • 28/09/2026 Belgium - FranceUEFA Nations League 0-1(0-0) W Win
  • 25/09/2026 Turkey - FranceUEFA Nations League 0-1(0-0) W Win
  • 26/06/2026 Norway - FranceWorld Cup 1-4(1-3) W Win
  • 29/03/2026 Colombia - FranceFriendly International 1-3(0-2) W Win
  • 26/03/2026 Brazil - FranceFriendlies - Tournament of Champions 1-2(0-1) W Win
  • 16/11/2025 Azerbaijan - FranceWorld Cup - Qualification 1-3(1-3) W Win
  • 13/10/2025 Iceland - FranceWorld Cup - Qualification 2-2(1-0) D Draw
  • 05/09/2025 Ukraine - FranceWorld Cup - Qualification 0-2(0-1) W Win
  • 08/06/2025 Germany - FranceUEFA Nations League 0-2(0-1) W Win
  • 05/06/2025 Spain - FranceUEFA Nations League 5-4(2-0) L Loss

Previous meetings at this venue

Only matches with Italy at home against France.

Looking further back, Italy has hosted France 2 times, with a record of 0-0-2 (wins, draws, defeats) and 4.0 goals per game on average. The most recent of those games, on 17 November 2024, finished 1-3.

  • 17/11/2024 Italy - FranceUEFA Nations League 1-3(1-2)
  • 01/09/2016 Italy - FranceFriendly International 1-3(1-2)

Quick answers

Who has the better record, Italy or France?

Italy has won 5 of its last 10 home matches (50%), while France has won 8 of its last 10 away matches (80%). On these numbers the away side has the stronger record, which is less common than the other way round.

How many goals do Italy vs France matches usually have?

Italy's home matches have averaged 3.4 goals and France's away matches 3.5. Over 2.5 goals came up in 63% of those home games and 60% of those away games.

Do both teams usually score?

Both teams scored in 50% of Italy's home matches and 60% of France's away matches. In their last 2 meetings it happened in 2 of them.

What happened in their last meeting at this venue?

On 17 November 2024 it ended Italy 1-3 France, after 1-2 at half-time.

Which prediction type has the strongest record for this match?

Over 1.5 Goals has the strongest combined record (89%), followed by HT Over 0.5 Goals (78%). Both figures come from Italy's home matches and France's away matches, not from a forecast.

How the figures are calculated

All figures come from the final scores of finished matches. Pre-match prices and model forecasts are not used.

Home and away records count each team's last 10 matches at that venue in the active leagues we cover; head-to-head counts up to their last 10 meetings. The match itself is never counted.

A high figure describes what has happened before. It is not a forecast of this match.