USL Championship (USA)

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction and Head-to-Head Stats

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic 16/11/2026 03:00

Meetings: 4 Last 4 meetings at either venue
Draws: 0/4 Last 4 meetings at either venue
Over 2.5 goals: 2/4 Last 4 meetings at either venue
Both teams scored: 2/4 Last 4 meetings at either venue

New Mexico United host Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (USA) on 16 November 2026 at 03:00. In USL Championship this season, home sides have won 45% of matches and 49% have produced three goals or more.

Their strongest combined record is Double Chance 1X: it happened in 8 of New Mexico United's last 10 home matches and 7 of Sacramento Republic's last 10 away matches. In their last 4 meetings at either venue, 2 had over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in 2.

Key prediction types: home and away records

Home record: New Mexico United's last 10 home matches. Away record: Sacramento Republic's last 10 away matches. H2H: their last 10 meetings at either venue. Combined: both home and away records together.

Both records point the same way on Over 1.5 Goals: it came up in 80% of New Mexico United's home matches and 70% of Sacramento Republic's away matches. The two sides disagree most on Double Chance X2: only 30% for New Mexico United at home, against 80% for Sacramento Republic on the road.

Prediction typeHome recordAway recordH2HCombined
Home Win (1) Home record7/10 Away record2/10 H2H1/4 45%
Draw (X) Home record1/10 Away record5/10 H2H0/4 30%
Away Win (2) Home record2/10 Away record3/10 H2H3/4 25%
Double Chance 1X Home record8/10 Away record7/10 H2H1/4 75%
Double Chance X2 Home record3/10 Away record8/10 H2H3/4 55%
Over 1.5 Goals Home record8/10 Away record7/10 H2H3/4 75%
Over 2.5 Goals Home record7/10 Away record2/10 H2H2/4 45%
Over 3.5 Goals Home record4/10 Away record2/10 H2H1/4 30%
Both Teams to Score (Yes) Home record6/10 Away record6/10 H2H2/4 60%
Both Teams to Score (No) Home record4/10 Away record4/10 H2H2/4 40%
Draw at Half-Time Home record3/10 Away record6/10 H2H3/4 45%
HT Over 0.5 Goals Home record7/10 Away record5/10 H2H2/4 60%

All prediction types

Full Time

Home Win (1) Home 7/10 · Away 2/10 45%
Draw (X) Home 1/10 · Away 5/10 30%
Away Win (2) Home 2/10 · Away 3/10 25%

Total Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals Home 3/10 · Away 8/10 55%
Over 2.5 Goals Home 7/10 · Away 2/10 45%
Under 1.5 Goals Home 2/10 · Away 3/10 25%
Over 1.5 Goals Home 8/10 · Away 7/10 75%
Under 3.5 Goals Home 6/10 · Away 8/10 70%
Over 3.5 Goals Home 4/10 · Away 2/10 30%
Under 0.5 Goals Home 0/10 · Away 1/10 5%
Over 0.5 Goals Home 10/10 · Away 9/10 95%
Under 4.5 Goals Home 9/10 · Away 9/10 90%
Over 4.5 Goals Home 1/10 · Away 1/10 10%
Under 5.5 Goals Home 10/10 · Away 10/10 100%
Over 5.5 Goals Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%

Half time

Home Lead at Half-Time Home 5/10 · Away 3/10 40%
Draw at Half-Time Home 3/10 · Away 6/10 45%
Away Lead at Half-Time Home 2/10 · Away 1/10 15%

Double Chance

Double Chance 1X Home 8/10 · Away 7/10 75%
Double Chance 12 Home 9/10 · Away 5/10 70%
Double Chance X2 Home 3/10 · Away 8/10 55%

Total Goals

Total Goals 0-1 Home 2/10 · Away 3/10 25%
Total Goals 2-3 Home 4/10 · Away 5/10 45%
Total Goals 4-5 Home 4/10 · Away 2/10 30%
Total Goals 6+ Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%

BTTS

Both Teams to Score (Yes) Home 6/10 · Away 6/10 60%
Both Teams to Score (No) Home 4/10 · Away 4/10 40%

Half Time / Full Time

HT/FT 1/1 Home 4/10 · Away 1/10 25%
HT/FT 1/X Home 1/10 · Away 2/10 15%
HT/FT 1/2 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
HT/FT X/1 Home 3/10 · Away 1/10 20%
HT/FT X/X Home 0/10 · Away 3/10 15%
HT/FT X/2 Home 0/10 · Away 2/10 10%
HT/FT 2/1 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
HT/FT 2/X Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
HT/FT 2/2 Home 2/10 · Away 1/10 15%

Odd / Even

Odd Number of Goals Home 6/10 · Away 3/10 45%
Even Number of Goals Home 4/10 · Away 7/10 55%

Half-Time Over/Under

HT Under 1.5 Goals Home 7/10 · Away 9/10 80%
HT Over 1.5 Goals Home 3/10 · Away 1/10 20%
HT Under 0.5 Goals Home 3/10 · Away 5/10 40%
HT Over 0.5 Goals Home 7/10 · Away 5/10 60%
HT Under 2.5 Goals Home 9/10 · Away 10/10 95%
HT Over 2.5 Goals Home 1/10 · Away 0/10 5%

Correct Score

Correct Score 1-0 Home 2/10 · Away 1/10 15%
Correct Score 2-0 Home 1/10 · Away 1/10 10%
Correct Score 2-1 Home 2/10 · Away 0/10 10%
Correct Score 3-0 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 3-1 Home 1/10 · Away 0/10 5%
Correct Score 3-2 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 4-0 Home 1/10 · Away 0/10 5%
Correct Score 4-1 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 4-2 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 5-0 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 5-1 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 6-0 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 0-0 Home 0/10 · Away 1/10 5%
Correct Score 1-1 Home 0/10 · Away 4/10 20%
Correct Score 2-2 Home 1/10 · Away 0/10 5%
Correct Score 3-3 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 0-1 Home 0/10 · Away 1/10 5%
Correct Score 0-2 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 1-2 Home 1/10 · Away 0/10 5%
Correct Score 0-3 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 1-3 Home 0/10 · Away 1/10 5%
Correct Score 2-3 Home 1/10 · Away 1/10 10%
Correct Score 0-4 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 1-4 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 2-4 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 0-5 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 1-5 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Correct Score 0-6 Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%
Any Other Correct Score Home 0/10 · Away 0/10 0%

Recent form

New Mexico United at home

New Mexico United won 7, drew 1 and lost 2 of its last 10 home matches, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 goals per game. It kept a clean sheet in around four matches in ten and both teams scored in about six matches in ten.

08/11/2026 New Mexico United - Colorado SpringsUSL Championship 4-0(3-0) W Win
02/11/2026 New Mexico United - Phoenix RisingUSL Championship 2-0(1-0) W Win
11/10/2026 New Mexico United - Monterey BayUSL Championship 3-1(2-0) W Win
05/10/2026 New Mexico United - Phoenix RisingUSL Championship 2-1(1-0) W Win
27/09/2026 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 2-3(0-1) L Loss
12/09/2026 New Mexico United - Indy ElevenUSL Championship 2-2(2-0) D Draw
30/08/2026 New Mexico United - San AntonioUSL Championship 1-2(0-1) L Loss
27/08/2026 New Mexico United - LexingtonUSL Championship 2-1(0-0) W Win
16/08/2026 New Mexico United - Tulsa RoughnecksUSL Championship 1-0(0-0) W Win
02/08/2026 New Mexico United - Colorado SpringsUSL Championship 1-0(0-0) W Win

Sacramento Republic away

Away from home, Sacramento Republic won 3, drew 5 and lost 2 of its last 10 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. It failed to score in close to three matches in ten and kept a clean sheet in about one match in five.

18/10/2026 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 0-1(0-0) W Win
04/10/2026 Tulsa Roughnecks - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 1-1(1-0) D Draw
27/09/2026 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 2-3(0-1) W Win
06/09/2026 Los Angeles Blues - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 1-1(0-0) D Draw
30/08/2026 Monterey Bay - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 1-1(1-0) D Draw
09/08/2026 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 0-0(0-0) D Draw
06/08/2026 Tulsa Roughnecks - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 1-0(0-0) L Loss
26/07/2026 Oakland Roots - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 1-3(1-1) W Win
19/07/2026 Charleston Battery - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 1-1(0-0) D Draw
12/07/2026 Boise - Sacramento RepublicUSL League One Cup 2-0(1-0) L Loss

Previous meetings at this venue

Only matches with New Mexico United at home against Sacramento Republic.

Looking further back, New Mexico United has hosted Sacramento Republic 6 times, with a record of 2-0-4 (wins, draws, defeats) and 3.3 goals per game on average. The most recent of those games, on 27 September 2026, finished 2-3.

27/09/2026 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 2-3(0-1)
31/08/2025 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 0-2(0-0)
19/09/2024 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 3-1(0-0)
23/07/2023 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 3-0(1-0)
04/08/2022 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 1-2(0-0)
09/06/2019 New Mexico United - Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship 0-3(0-1)

Quick answers

Who has the better record, New Mexico United or Sacramento Republic?

New Mexico United has won 7 of its last 10 home matches (70%), while Sacramento Republic has won 3 of its last 10 away matches (30%). On these numbers the home side has the stronger record.

How many goals do New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic matches usually have?

New Mexico United's home matches have averaged 3.0 goals and Sacramento Republic's away matches 2.1. Over 2.5 goals came up in 70% of those home games and 20% of those away games.

Do both teams usually score?

Both teams scored in 60% of New Mexico United's home matches and 60% of Sacramento Republic's away matches. In their last 4 meetings it happened in 2 of them.

What happened in their last meeting at this venue?

On 27 September 2026 it ended New Mexico United 2-3 Sacramento Republic, after 0-1 at half-time.

Which prediction type has the strongest record for this match?

Double Chance 1X has the strongest combined record (75%), followed by Over 1.5 Goals (75%). Both figures come from New Mexico United's home matches and Sacramento Republic's away matches, not from a forecast.

How the figures are calculated

All figures come from the final scores of finished matches. Pre-match prices and model forecasts are not used.

Home and away records count each team's last 10 matches at that venue in the active leagues we cover; head-to-head counts up to their last 10 meetings. The match itself is never counted.

A high figure describes what has happened before. It is not a forecast of this match.