Ascenso MX (Mexico)

Universidad Guadalajara vs CA Morelia Prediction and Head-to-Head Stats

Universidad Guadalajara vs CA Morelia 15/11/2026 21:00
Meetings
6 Last 6 meetings at either venue
Draws
0/6 Last 6 meetings at either venue
Over 2.5 goals
2/6 Last 6 meetings at either venue
Both teams scored
2/6 Last 6 meetings at either venue

Universidad Guadalajara host CA Morelia in Ascenso MX (Mexico) on 15 November 2026 at 21:00. In Ascenso MX this season, home sides have won 48% of matches and 62% have produced three goals or more.

Their strongest combined record is HT Over 0.5 Goals: it happened in 10 of Universidad Guadalajara's last 10 home matches and 8 of CA Morelia's last 10 away matches. At the other end, Draw (X) has been rare on both sides: 20% of Universidad Guadalajara's home games and 10% of CA Morelia's away games. In their last 6 meetings at either venue, 2 had over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in 2.

Key prediction types: home and away records

Home record: Universidad Guadalajara's last 10 home matches. Away record: CA Morelia's last 10 away matches. H2H: their last 10 meetings at either venue. Combined: both home and away records together.

Both records point the same way on Over 1.5 Goals: it came up in 100% of Universidad Guadalajara's home matches and 70% of CA Morelia's away matches. The two sides disagree most on Over 3.5 Goals: 50% for Universidad Guadalajara at home, but only 10% for CA Morelia on the road.

All prediction types

Full Time

Total Goals Over/Under

Half time

Double Chance

Total Goals

BTTS

Half Time / Full Time

Odd / Even

Half-Time Over/Under

Correct Score

Recent form

Universidad Guadalajara at home

Universidad Guadalajara won 5, drew 2 and lost 3 of its last 10 home matches, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 goals per game. It kept a clean sheet in about one match in five and both teams scored in about four matches in five.

  • 08/11/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - Alacranes de DurangoAscenso MX 2-1(2-0) W Win
  • 01/11/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - Tepatitlán de MorelosAscenso MX 3-1(2-1) W Win
  • 18/10/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - ZacatepecAscenso MX 1-2(1-1) L Loss
  • 04/10/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - DoradosAscenso MX 6-3(3-0) W Win
  • 13/09/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - Club Atletico La PazAscenso MX 2-2(1-0) D Draw
  • 30/08/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - PiratasAscenso MX 1-1(1-1) D Draw
  • 16/08/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - Tampico MaderoAscenso MX 4-0(3-0) W Win
  • 07/08/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - Correcaminos UATAscenso MX 1-3(1-2) L Loss
  • 19/04/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - CancúnAscenso MX 1-2(0-1) L Loss
  • 05/04/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 2-0(1-0) W Win

CA Morelia away

Away from home, CA Morelia won 5, drew 1 and lost 4 of its last 10 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. It failed to score in about one match in five and kept a clean sheet in about one match in five.

  • 05/11/2026 Venados - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 1-2(1-1) W Win
  • 01/11/2026 Alacranes de Durango - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 3-1(2-0) L Loss
  • 26/10/2026 Tapatío - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 1-2(0-1) W Win
  • 10/10/2026 Tepatitlán de Morelos - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 1-1(1-0) D Draw
  • 27/09/2026 Venados - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 2-1(1-0) L Loss
  • 13/09/2026 Mineros de Zacatecas - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 0-1(0-0) W Win
  • 29/08/2026 Dorados - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 0-1(0-1) W Win
  • 15/08/2026 Cruz Azul Hidalgo - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 1-2(0-1) W Win
  • 02/08/2026 Piratas - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 1-0(0-0) L Loss
  • 23/04/2026 Mineros de Zacatecas - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 3-0(1-0) L Loss

Previous meetings at this venue

Only matches with Universidad Guadalajara at home against CA Morelia.

Looking further back, Universidad Guadalajara has hosted CA Morelia 8 times, with a record of 5-1-2 (wins, draws, defeats) and 2.0 goals per game on average. The most recent of those games, on 5 April 2026, finished 2-0.

  • 05/04/2026 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 2-0(1-0)
  • 11/05/2025 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 2-0(0-0)
  • 21/03/2025 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 2-1(1-0)
  • 19/11/2023 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 2-0(2-0)
  • 02/09/2023 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 0-0(0-0)
  • 24/03/2023 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 0-1(0-0)
  • 01/10/2021 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaAscenso MX 2-1(0-1)
  • 28/09/2014 Universidad Guadalajara - CA MoreliaLiga MX 1-2(0-1)

Quick answers

Who has the better record, Universidad Guadalajara or CA Morelia?

Universidad Guadalajara has won 5 of its last 10 home matches (50%), while CA Morelia has won 5 of its last 10 away matches (50%). On these numbers the two records are close.

How many goals do Universidad Guadalajara vs CA Morelia matches usually have?

Universidad Guadalajara's home matches have averaged 3.8 goals and CA Morelia's away matches 2.4. Over 2.5 goals came up in 80% of those home games and 60% of those away games.

Do both teams usually score?

Both teams scored in 80% of Universidad Guadalajara's home matches and 60% of CA Morelia's away matches. In their last 6 meetings it happened in 2 of them.

What happened in their last meeting at this venue?

On 5 April 2026 it ended Universidad Guadalajara 2-0 CA Morelia, after 1-0 at half-time.

Which prediction type has the strongest record for this match?

HT Over 0.5 Goals has the strongest combined record (90%), followed by Over 1.5 Goals (85%). Both figures come from Universidad Guadalajara's home matches and CA Morelia's away matches, not from a forecast.

How the figures are calculated

All figures come from the final scores of finished matches. Pre-match prices and model forecasts are not used.

Home and away records count each team's last 10 matches at that venue in the active leagues we cover; head-to-head counts up to their last 10 meetings. The match itself is never counted.

A high figure describes what has happened before. It is not a forecast of this match.